Wednesday 3 February 2016

evolution - Fecundity per woman in early humans


The average fecundity per woman varies a lot from country to country. I call average fecundity per woman the average number of born children per woman. In Homo sapiens, what was the average fecundity per woman during the paleolithic age for example? Is it about 2 offspring per woman or about 12 offsprings per woman?



Answer



Infant mortality was high during the paleolithic, so the fecundity of females had to be quite a bit higher than 2 to sustain viable populations.


A recent paper by White (2014) that explores how the ratio of young and old individuals in a population relates to demographic rates compiles data on hunter-gatherer societies from previous studies that you will probably find useful. Among other statistics, that paper reports a range in total fertility of 2.6–8.0. One of the source papers (Hewlett, 1991, pdf here) has data for individual hunter-gatherer societies (along with data from other types of pre-industrial societies). Many populations lie in the range 4-7 offspring. Note however that most (all?) of these values are from current or recent hunter-gatherer societies and not paleolithic societies. However, to give a ballpark estimate they are probably useful and fairly accurate. Also note that the child mortality rate of these societies are often between 40-50% (infant mortality ~10-30%)


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